About Me

Name: Jim Wyckoff
Location: Iowa
Hobbies: Boating, Camping, Hiking, and anything else outdoors

I am a Senior Market Analyst for www.TradingEducation.com a FREE educational website. I have been involved with the stock, financial and futures markets for more than 20 years. I became a financial journalist with Futures World News for many years, where I covered every futures market traded in the United States at one time or another. Not long after I began my career in financial journalism, I began studying technical analysis. My extensive studies of technical analysis and knowledge of markets led to several positions, including chief technical analyst at several reputable companies.

You can also read additional FREE daily commentary at www.TradingEducation.com.

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The mission of my morning web log, or "blog" is to provide you with the very latest perspective and opinion on selected key markets. I will help you start your trading day by providing you with concise and valuable trading "nuggets" to help you in your daily trading plans.



« Stock Indexes Firmer in Early Trading | Main | U.S. Treasuries Weaker in Early Trading »

Stock Indexes, Bonds Firmer Early

Thursday, December 21--Jim Wyckoff's Early Morning Web Log

OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING DEVELOPMENTS

The feature in overnight/early morning trading today is firmer stock index prices and U.S. Treasuries. As the Christmas and New Year's holidays approach, look for quieter trading.

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U.S. STOCK INDEXES

The stock indexes are firmer in early morning electronic trading. Bulls still have the near-term technical advantage heading into the end of the year.

March S&P 500: The shorter-term moving averages (4-, 9- and 18-day) are bullish today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral today. Today, shorter-term technical support comes in at the overnight low of 1,434.80. Sell stops likely reside just under that level. More sell stops likely reside under shorter-term technical support at 1,430.00. Upside resistance for active traders today is located at Wednesday's high of 1,440.50 and then at the contract high of 1,444.90. Buy stops are likely located just above those levels. Wyckoff's Intra-day Market Rating: 8.0

PIVOT POINT LEVELS FOR MARCH S&P 500:

Pivot:------------ 1,436.65
1st Support:------ 1,432.75
2nd Support:------ 1,430.25
1st Resistance:--- 1,439.20
2nd Resistance:--- 1,443.05

March Russell 2000: The shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are neutral today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day moving average is above the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bearish early today. Today, shorter-term technical support is located at Wednesday's low of 789.25. Sell stops likely reside just below that level, and then more sell stops are likely located just below technical support at this week's low of 781.50. On the upside, short-term resistance is seen at Wednesday's high of 795.50. Buy stops are likely located just above that level. More buy stops are likely located just above resistance at this week's high of 802.50. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 7.0

PIVOT POINT LEVELS FOR MARCH RUSSELL 2000:

Pivot:------------ 792.60
1st Support:------ 789.65
2nd Support:------ 786.35
1st Resistance:--- 795.90
2nd Resistance:--- 798.85

March Dow: For today, sell stops likely reside just below support at 12,500 and then more stops just below support at this week's low of 12,482. Buy stops likely reside just above shorter-term technical resistance at Monday's contract high of 12,579 and then more buy stops just above resistance at 12,600. Shorter-term moving averages are bullish today, as the 4-day moving average is moving above the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day moving average is above the 18-day moving average. Shorter-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral today. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 8.0

PIVOT POINT LEVELS FOR MARCH DOW:

Pivot:------------ 12,552
1st Support:------ 12,526
2nd Support:------ 12,508
1st Resistance:--- 12,570
2nd Resistance:--- 12,596

U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES

U.S. T-Bonds and T-Notes are firmer early today. Bears still have some near-term technical momentum on their side.

March U.S. T-Bonds: Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bearish today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Shorter-term technical resistance lies at Wednesday's high of 112 25/32. Buy stops likely reside just above that level. More buy stops likely reside just above technical resistance at this week's high of 113 1/32. Shorter-term technical support lies at Wednesday's low of 112 15/32. Sell stops likely reside just below that level. More sell stops are likely located below support at this week's low of 112 7/32. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0

PIVOT POINT LEVELS FOR MARCH T-BONDS:

Pivot:----------- 112 19/32
1st Support:----- 112 13/32
2nd Support:----- 112 9/32
1st Resistance:-- 112 23/32
2nd Resistance:-- 112 29/32

March U.S. T-Notes: Shorter-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Buy stops likely reside just above shorter-term technical resistance at the Wednesday's high of 108.15.0, and more buy stops are likely located just above resistance at this week's high of 108.19.0. Shorter-term moving averages are bearish today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Sell stop orders are likely located just below support at 108.08.0, and then more sell stops just below support at this week's low of 108.02.0. Wyckoff's Intra Day Market Rating: 5.0

PIVOT POINT LEVELS FOR MARCH T-NOTES:

Pivot:------------ 108.12.0
1st Support:------ 108.08.0
2nd Support:------ 108.06.0
1st Resistance:--- 108.14.0
2nd Resistance:--- 108.18.0

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